Nuvama Wealth Stock Analysis: Finology DeepScan

Hello,

For our new readers: Welcome to the 6th edition of our DeepScan series.

Here, we take businesses apart, question the narratives around them, and share our research exactly as we see it.

Although not “recommendations”, they’re businesses we believe are worth understanding.

And if you’re looking for the handful of companies that did earn a place in our recommendation list of long-term stocks, I encourage you to explore Finology 30.

With that, let’s break down today’s business.

In the last edition, we explored why India’s wealth management opportunity is only getting bigger and how 360 ONE is well placed to benefit from it through its UHNI franchise and alternative asset management platform.

Nuvama is targeting the same opportunity, but with a very different revenue mix.

360 ONE is mainly a UHNI-focused wealth and asset management company. Nearly 75% of its FY26 operating revenue came from recurring wealth income and Asset Management. Although it is expanding into the HNI and mass-affluent segments through Reserve and ET Money, UHNIs, family offices and alternative investments remain its core focus.

Nuvama has a broader client and business mix.

• Nuvama Wealth serves affluent and HNI clients. The company has, in the past, mentioned that clients with investable wealth below ₹25 crore fall under the HNI and affluent category.

• Nuvama Private focuses on UHNIs, entrepreneurs and family offices with the potential to invest more than ₹25 crore, while many clients have the potential to invest over ₹100 crore.

Together, these businesses contributed around 55% of its FY26 management-reported revenue.

Unlike 360 ONE, Nuvama also earns a meaningful share from institutions and investment funds.

Asset Services, which provides custody, clearing, settlement and collateral support to large investors and trading firms, contributed around 23.5% of revenue.

Institutional broking and investment banking, which execute trades for institutions and help companies raise capital or complete deals, contributed another 19.6%.

Therefore:

• 360 ONE is more dependent on recurring wealth and Asset Management income.

• Nuvama is more diversified but also more exposed to trading volumes and deal activity.

Take a look at their revenue mix.

Revenue category	Nuvama FY26	Share	360 ONE FY26	Share
Recurring wealth income	~₹998  crore	~32%	₹1,507 crore	49.20%
Transaction, broking and capital-markets income	~₹1,333 crore	~42.7%	₹777 crore	25.30%
Asset Management	₹57 crore	1.80%	₹781 crore	25.50%
Asset Services	₹734 crore	23.50%	Not separately reported	NA
Total operating revenue	₹3,122 crore	100%	₹3,066 crore	100%

FY26 is a good example of how Nuvama’s different businesses affect overall growth.

• Wealth management revenue grew 20%,

• Asset services grew 12%, and

• Asset management fees increased 31%.

However, weaker institutional trading and equity capital-market activity led to a 19% decline in capital markets revenue. As a result, consolidated revenue grew by only 8%.

Excluding institutional equities and investment banking, Nuvama’s revenue grew 17%. This shows that the core wealth and services businesses remained healthy, but the capital markets segment can significantly increase or reduce reported growth in any year.

This brings us to…

Breaking down Nuvama’s business.

Nuvama operates across wealth management, asset management, institutional infrastructure and capital markets.

Business segment	FY26 revenue contribution	Nature of revenue
Nuvama Wealth	30.80%	Distribution, broking and lending
Nuvama Private	24.30%	UHNI advisory, distribution and lending
Asset Services	23.50%	Custody, clearing and collateral income
Capital Markets	19.60%	Institutional broking and investment banking
Asset Management	1.80%	Management and performance fees

1. Nuvama Wealth

Nuvama Wealth caters to mass-affluent investors, HNIs, salaried professionals and business owners. For UHNIs, entrepreneurs and family offices, it has a dedicated offering called Nuvama Private.

Across these platforms, clients can access almost every major wealth product, from mutual funds, PMS, AIFs and bonds to insurance, broking, margin funding, loans against securities, ESOP financing and estate-planning services.

As of FY26, the business served more than 13 lakh clients through around 1,100 relationship managers (RM), nearly 8,000 active External Wealth Managers (EWMs), more than 75 branches and a presence across 500 locations.

External Wealth Managers are independent advisers who use Nuvama’s products, technology and back-office infrastructure to serve their clients. This lets Nuvama expand into new markets without having to open a branch or hire relationship managers in every city.

The segment has scaled rapidly over the last five years. Client assets increased from ₹33,018 crore in FY21 to ~₹1.07 lakh crore in FY26, a CAGR of around 27%.

Revenue grew from ₹275 crore to ₹960 crore at a CAGR of 28%.

Operating PBT increased from ₹26 crore to ₹330 crore at a much faster CAGR of 66%.

Nuvama Wealth saw strong operating leverage during its early growth phase. Its cost-to-income ratio fell from 90% in FY21 to 69% in FY23 because revenue more than doubled, while costs increased at a much slower pace.

Since then, the ratio has remained broadly stable at 65% to 67% as management invests in hiring, new products, and wider distribution.

As a result, margins are still expected to improve over time, but the gains are likely to be more gradual than the sharp expansion seen in the earlier years.

In this business, the quality of client assets matters more than the headline AUM.

FY26 asset category	Assets	Share of client assets
Broking assets	₹61,711 crore	~57.61%
MPIS assets	₹39,227 crore	~36.60%
Lending book	₹4,932 crore	~4.60%
Others	₹1,240 crore	~1.2%

Managed Products and Investment Solutions, or MPIS, include mutual funds, PMS, AIFs, bonds, insurance and structured investment products. It earns commission by distributing these products. Mutual funds, PMS and AIFs usually provide recurring income as long as clients remain invested. Bonds, insurance, and similar products generally earn income when they are sold, renewed or rolled over.

The business mix is moving in the right direction:

• MPIS increased from 29.5% of client assets in FY24 to 36.6% in FY26.

• MPIS revenue contribution increased from 50% in FY25 to 59% in FY26.

• Brokerage contribution declined from 17% to 11%.

• The lending book increased 76% YoY to ₹4,932 crore.

• Its net NPA was zero in FY25, and management reported no actual credit losses during FY26.

Still, the entire 59% MPIS contribution should not be treated as recurring revenue.

Of total MPIS revenue, 60% is recurring, and 40% is transactional. Net interest income contributed around 22%, with the balance coming from brokerage and other sources.

Also, 73% of FY26 revenue came through External Wealth Managers, while Nuvama’s own RMs contributed 27%. This partner-led model allows Nuvama to reach more cities without building a large branch network.

That said, the model comes with its own costs. Nuvama shares a portion of its revenue with over 8,000 External Wealth Managers (EWMs) and continues to invest heavily in technology. As a result, the segment’s cost-to-income ratio has remained relatively high.

The key challenge is converting more of the existing broking assets into MPIS products. Broking still represents 58% of client assets, while the cost-to-income ratio has remained between 65% and 67% for the last three years. This means that future margin improvement will depend more on RM productivity and a better asset mix than on headline asset growth.

2. Nuvama Private

Nuvama Private serves UHNIs, entrepreneurs, business-owning families, family offices and senior corporate executives. It generally targets clients who can eventually invest more than ₹25 crore, while management says most have the potential to invest over ₹100 crore.

The business combines advisory and distribution. It earns advisory and portfolio-management fees through its Infinity platform, while also earning commissions by distributing mutual funds, PMS, AIFs and other investment products.

As of FY26, the business served more than 4,750 families through over 145 relationship managers. Total client assets stood at approximately ₹2.07 lakh crore, implying average assets of around ₹43.5 crore per family.

The business has also grown steadily over the last five years. Client assets more than doubled from ₹98,570 crore in FY21 to ~₹2.07 lakh crore in FY26, delivering a CAGR of around 16%.

Revenue grew from ₹210 crore to ₹758 crore at a CAGR of 29%.

Operating PBT increased from ₹32 crore to ₹256 crore at a CAGR of 51%.

The cost-to-income ratio declined from 85% in FY21 to 66% in FY26.

Now, the most important metric to consider is Annual Recurring Revenue, or ARR assets. These assets generate regular income through advisory fees, managed-product fees and trail commissions.

ARR metric	FY25	FY26
ARR assets	₹44,457 crore	₹54,021 crore
YoY growth	-	22%
ARR share of client assets	22.28%	26.13%
ARR revenue contribution	56%	59%
ARR yield	0.84%	0.89%

ARR net new money, which means fresh money added to recurring-revenue assets after subtracting client withdrawals, stood at ₹9,630 crore, equal to around 22% of opening ARR assets. This indicates that a large part of the growth was driven by fresh client inflows rather than market appreciation.

The opportunity remains large because only about one-fourth of total client assets generate recurring revenue, while ~65% remain transactional. According to management, meaningful conversion of these assets into ARR products has not yet begun.

Take a look at some more operating metrics worth consideration:

• The RM base increased from around 90 four years ago to more than 145 in FY26, a CAGR of approximately 13%.

• Revenue per RM stood at approximately ₹5.2 crore in FY26.

• Revenue per RM improved by 10% to 15% because of productivity increase.

• Lending contributes around 10% to 12% of revenue, with management targeting 20% to 25% over time.

Nuvama Private has strong monetisation potential because it already manages relationships with families holding more than ₹2 lakh crore of assets. So, its future growth will depend on ARR net flows, conversion of transactional assets, RM productivity, client retention and gradual improvement in operating efficiency.

3. Nuvama Asset Management

Nuvama Asset Management manufactures investment products for HNIs, UHNIs and institutions. It manages public-market, private-market and commercial real-estate strategies and is also building private-credit and mutual-fund business.

As of FY26, the business had 25+ investment professionals, nine active strategies and managed a total AUM of ₹12,807 crore. Of this, around ₹10,896 crore (85%) was fee-paying, which is the part that generates management fees.

Key metric	FY22	FY26	CAGR
Total AUM	₹3,856 crore	₹12,807 crore	35%
Fee-paying AUM	₹3,001 crore	₹10,896 crore	38%
Management fees	₹13 crore	₹77 crore	56%
Active strategies	2	9	-

Commercial real estate has been the largest driver of recent growth.

Nuvama’s first commercial real-estate fund had raised around ₹3,800 crore and was subsequently closed at approximately ₹4,000 crore, equivalent to nearly one-third of the Asset Management segment’s FY26 AUM. The fund had acquired three properties covering around 3.8 million square feet.

Going forward, the business has a few clear growth levers:

• Launching a second commercial real-estate fund with a target size of ₹3,000 crore to ₹3,500 crore.

• Building a private-credit platform.

• Entering Specialised Investment Funds after receiving final mutual-fund approval.

• Using Nuvama Wealth and Nuvama Private to distribute proprietary products.

Despite strong AUM growth, asset management contributed only 1.8% of consolidated FY26 revenue. The recent growth has also been uneven. Most of it is driven by the commercial real estate business, while net inflows into public-market strategies have remained broadly flat.

4. Nuvama Asset Services

Nuvama Asset Services handles the operational side of investing for institutional clients. Its services include custody, clearing, settlement, fund accounting, collateral management and reporting for FPIs, proprietary traders, high-frequency traders, AIFs, PMS managers and other institutions.

As of FY26, it served more than 275 clients and handled ~₹1.26 lakh crore of assets under custody and clearing. It holds securities, settles trades, manages collateral and provides accounting and reporting support, while all investment decisions and ownership remain with the client.

Key metric	FY21	FY26	CAGR
Assets under custody and clearing	₹27,056 crore	~₹1.26 lakh crore	36%
Revenue	₹167 crore	₹734 crore	35%

Revenue comes from two sources:

• Custody, clearing, settlement and administration fees.

• Interest earned on cash collateral placed by trading clients.

Trading clients deposit collateral to cover possible losses on their positions. This collateral can be provided in cash or securities.

Nuvama places the cash portion in permitted bank deposits and earns interest while it remains blocked.

Therefore, apart from total assets, revenue also depends on:

• the average cash collateral held during the year,

• the mix between cash and securities,

• interest rates, and

• client trading activity.

International clients contributed around 70-75% of segment revenue, while domestic clients contributed 25-30%.

Nuvama is also expanding into RTA, trusteeship and partnerships with global custodians. The idea is to allow fund managers to use one platform for custody, accounting, reporting, investor records and other back-office work.

Asset Services is one of Nuvama’s most differentiated businesses and contributed 23.5% of consolidated revenue. That said, its performance is still influenced by factors such as interest rates, the level of cash collateral, client trading activity and its dependence on a few large international clients.

5. Nuvama Capital Markets

This segment has two main businesses:

• Institutional Equities provides research, institutional broking, derivatives execution, algorithmic trading and corporate access.

• Investment Banking advises companies and promoters on IPOs, QIPs, private placements, M&A, stake sales, buybacks and debt issuances.

Key metric	FY21	FY26	CAGR/change
Revenue	₹336 crore	₹613 crore	13% CAGR
Share of consolidated revenue	34%	19.50%	Down 14.50%

The long-term CAGR hides significant volatility.

Year	Revenue growth
FY23	-16%
FY24	44%
FY25	60%
FY26	-19%

Institutional Equities contributed around 70% of segment revenue, while Investment Banking contributed approximately 30%.

FY26 was weak because:

• Equity cash turnover declined around 6%

• Futures turnover declined 14%

• QIP activity slowed

• Some large IPOs had smaller fee pools

• Investment-banking revenue was affected by transaction timing

Despite weaker revenue, Nuvama’s IPO market share by value improved from around 18% to 19%. The weakness was caused more by industry conditions than a loss of competitive position.

Capital Markets remains important because research and institutional distribution support IPO and QIP execution, while promoter transactions can create new relationships for Nuvama Private.

However, the segment will remain cyclical because revenue depends on trading volumes, transaction closures and market conditions.

Its share of consolidated revenue has fallen from 34% in FY21 to around 20% in FY26. That’s a positive shift, as the faster-growing Wealth, Private and Asset Services businesses now account for a much larger share of Nuvama’s earnings.

This change in the business mix has also supported profitability. Consolidated ROE improved from 16.3% in FY21 to 31.5% in FY25, before moderating to 28.1% in FY26.

The recent decline was mainly due to subdued net profit, impacted by higher ECL provisions and weakness in the Capital Markets segment.

Moving on to Nuvama’s balance sheet and cash flow statement.

At first glance, Nuvama’s financials can look misleading.

• The company reported a profit of ₹1,040 crore in FY26, but its operating cash flow was negative ₹3,014 crore.

• Total liabilities also stood at ₹30,368 crore, compared with equity of just ₹4,123 crore.

That makes the business appear highly leveraged and weak on cash flows. But financial services companies like Nuvama can’t be analysed the same way as manufacturing or consumer businesses.

Consider what happens when Nuvama provides a loan to a client.

The company gives the client cash, which creates an asset called a loan on its balance sheet. However, because lending is one of Nuvama’s regular businesses, this cash outflow is classified under operating activities rather than investing activities.

So, if Nuvama expands its lending book, its operating cash flow can become negative even though the loans are expected to generate interest income and profits over several years.

The clearing business creates another large set of balance-sheet entries.

Institutional trading clients are required to maintain margin or collateral against their positions. When a client deposits cash collateral with Nuvama, the amount is recorded as a liability because the money ultimately belongs to the client and may need to be returned.

Nuvama then places much of this money in fixed deposits, clearing corporations or other permitted accounts. This creates a matching asset under bank balances.

Therefore, the company can simultaneously report a very large bank balance and a very large liability, even though neither amount represents freely available shareholder cash.

Nuvama’s negative operating cash flow is not, by itself, a red flag.

It is primarily a result of loan growth and the mechanics of the clearing business. However, leverage has increased, and the company is gradually becoming more capital intensive.

So, investors should focus less on conventional free cash flow and more on asset quality and funding discipline.

This brings us to Nuvama’s growth opportunities.

Our wealth management industry still has significant room to grow. Only around 15% of the country’s wealth is professionally managed, compared with roughly 75% in the US.

The management believes the industry opportunity could expand eight to nine times over the next decade.

Nuvama also has several company-specific opportunities.

1. Managing a larger share of client wealth: As clients become wealthier and their needs evolve, Nuvama has the opportunity to deepen those relationships by managing a larger share of their assets and increasing the mix of recurring-fee products.

2. Expanding its offshore wealth business: Wealthy Indians are increasingly investing abroad. So, Nuvama is expanding its presence in Dubai and Singapore. Its Dubai office, operating under a DIFC licence, has already reached operational breakeven. The company is now seeking an ESCA mainland licence, which would allow it to directly serve a wider base of Indian-origin clients across the UAE.
   Nuvama is also expanding its team in Singapore. Management believes that offering clients a consolidated view of their investments across countries and currencies can help the company manage a larger share of their global wealth.

3. Scaling its asset management business: The mutual fund licence provides another growth opportunity. It will allow Nuvama to launch Specialised Investment Funds, or SIFs, and offer some of its existing public-market strategies, such as long-short and absolute-return funds, at a minimum investment of ₹10 lakh instead of ₹1 crore.
   This can significantly widen the addressable market and allow a much larger network of independent financial advisers to distribute Nuvama’s products.

4. Expanding asset services: This segment can also grow by offering more services to the same institutional clients. Nuvama already has around 22% market share in domestic institutional clearing and is expanding into RTA and trusteeship services.
   This will allow it to offer custody, clearing, fund accounting, investor records and trusteeship through one platform, making it a one-stop solution for AIF and PMS managers.
   Internationally, the company is also pursuing partnerships with global custodians that require a local Indian partner. This could help Nuvama serve large overseas funds that may not want to work directly with a single-country custodian.

5. Improving RM productivity: This is important for margin expansion. Instead of simply increasing RM headcount, it is hiring more experienced relationship managers who can handle larger client portfolios and generate higher revenue. A productive senior RM can generate revenue equal to 3 to 5 times their fixed cost.

   Also, it is actively replacing lower-vintage RMs with senior ones. For example, if the company loses two junior RMs earning ₹7 lakhs each and hires one senior RM at ₹14 lakhs, the fixed cost remains identical. However, because the senior RM can generate five times the revenue, the company scales its income without inflating its overall headcount, training, or supervisory costs.

6. Using technology to scale efficiently: Nuvama has been using AI tools for portfolio analysis, rebalancing and tax-loss harvesting. Management said revenue per RM increased by around 25% in Nuvama Wealth and 10% to 15% in Nuvama Private. Together, stronger RM productivity, wider product offerings and deeper client relationships can help Nuvama grow revenue faster than costs over time.

What about the management’s ability to execute?

FY26 is a good year to assess this because management has laid out clear, measurable targets for asset flows, cost growth, lending, fundraising, and the recovery of the Asset Services business.

Business metric	Management indication during FY26	FY26 delivery
Nuvama Wealth MPIS net new money	Around 28-30% of opening MPIS assets	30%. Achieved upper end.
Nuvama Private ARR net new money	Initially 26-27%, later closer to 25%	22%. Below guidance.
Asset Services recovery	Return to the earlier revenue run rate by Q4	Q4 revenue ₹209 crore, above Q1.
Opex growth	Around 10-12%	13%. Slightly above guidance.
Commercial real-estate fund	Close the first fund at around ₹4,000 crore	₹3,800 crore at FY26-end, ₹4,000 crore shortly after. Broadly achieved.

In Q1, Nuvama lost a large international high-frequency trading client because of regulatory issues. On top of that, it also faced a 0.50% decline in interest rates, which reduced the income earned on client cash collateral.

Management planned to replace the lost business by adding a larger number of smaller clients and guided for a recovery by Q4. It delivered on this guidance, with Q4 revenue exceeding Q1 levels.

The Wealth and Private businesses also executed well. During the year, Nuvama Wealth generated net new money equal to 30% of its opening MPIS assets.

Lending is another area where management identified an opportunity and acted on it. Loans contributed only around 10% to 12% of Nuvama Private’s revenue.

As the loan book expanded, the company had to make higher upfront expected credit loss provisions, which weighed on reported profits in the near term. Even so, lending can strengthen client relationships and create another avenue for revenue growth. The long-term benefit, however, will depend on funding costs and credit quality.

Overall, management’s execution appears competent.

• It successfully managed a major client loss,

• delivered strong wealth flows, and

• expanded lending.

What could go wrong for Nuvama?

No business is risk-free. Here’s what might get in the way of Nuvama’s growth:

1. Client concentration in Asset Services: Client concentration in Asset Services remains an important near-term risk. In Q2 FY26, management indicated that only around 30 to 40 HFT firms were active in India and that the top 10 clients could contribute around 60% to 70% of revenue at a point in time, although this concentration changes as clients scale up or reduce activity.
   We saw this play out in FY26 when Nuvama lost a large international HFT client following regulatory action. With the client, Asset Services revenue could have grown in the late teens. Without it, growth remained in the early teens. Based on FY25 segment revenue, this translates to an annual revenue impact of roughly ₹30-40 crore and a possible pre-tax profit impact of around ₹20-28 crore.

2. Rising competition for relationship managers: Competition for experienced relationship managers is another risk. Wealth managers rely heavily on RMs to attract clients and retain assets, and private-equity-backed competitors are offering aggressive compensation packages to hire successful bankers from established firms.
   Higher salaries and retention costs could make it harder for Nuvama to improve its Wealth segment’s 66% cost-to-income ratio, limiting future margin expansion even if revenue continues to grow.

3. Rapid growth in the lending book: The balance sheet is also expanding rapidly. Nuvama’s closing loan book grew 76%, from ₹2,806 crore to ₹4,932 crore in FY26.
   Rapid loan growth requires the company to recognise expected credit loss provisions upfront, while the related interest income is earned gradually over time. As a result, reported profitability can come under pressure in the near term.

4. Volatility in funding costs: Around 25% of Nuvama’s borrowings come from market-linked debentures. The hedging cost on these borrowings can move between -0.1% and +1% in a quarter, creating some volatility in quarterly net interest income.
   Based on the current loan book, a 1% change could affect annualised pre-tax earnings by roughly ₹10 crore to ₹13 crore.

Coming to Valuations…

At 33x earnings, Nuvama is trading around 27% above its historical median valuation of 26x.

Assuming a five-year holding period and a 15% annual return expectation, the answer depends largely on the valuation multiple the market assigns in five years.

Exit P/E after five years	Required PAT CAGR
22x	24.70%
26x	20.60%
30x	17.20%

Let us start with the base case. If Nuvama eventually trades back at its historical median P/E of 26x, the company would need to grow its PAT by around 20.6% a year for an investor to earn a 15% annual return, excluding dividends

That’s a high bar. Nuvama’s operating PAT grew at a strong 39% CAGR between FY21 and FY26. However, this was supported by a low starting base, a sharp decline in the cost-to-income ratio and strong growth in Asset Services and Capital Markets. In FY26, operating PAT grew by only 6%, showing that consolidated earnings can slow when capital-market activity weakens.

Sustaining 20%+ PAT growth would require several things to go right simultaneously. Nuvama Wealth and Private must maintain strong MPIS and ARR flows, Asset Services must continue adding clients, Asset Management must become a meaningful contributor, and capital markets must recover. Margin improvement will also need to continue, although management is reinvesting part of the productivity gains in RMs, technology and new products.

The current valuation therefore leaves limited room for disappointment. If PAT grows at 18% and the stock returns to 26x earnings, the annual return would be only around 12.5%. Even at 20% PAT growth, the return would be around 14.4%.

A good business can still produce mediocre returns if valuation is too rich. That’s why each Finology 30 stock comes with a maximum buy price, so you know what to buy and what not to overpay.

In our view…

Nuvama offers a diversified way to participate in India’s growing wealth-management opportunity. Its presence across affluent wealth, UHNI advisory, asset management, lending, custody and capital markets gives it several avenues to deepen client relationships and grow revenue beyond simple product distribution.

At the same time, the model is also more complex and cyclical than a pure wealth platform. A meaningful part of earnings still depends on trading activity, interest rates, client concentration and investment-banking conditions, while competition for relationship managers can keep costs high.

Disclaimer
The information and analysis provided herein are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice, a research recommendation, or an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Investors should exercise their own judgment, conduct independent due diligence, and consult professional advisers before making investment decisions. Finology Ventures Private Limited, its affiliates, directors, employees, and research analysts shall not be liable for any loss or damage arising from the use of or reliance on this information.